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Inside the Astros

Astros' Isaac Paredes Has One Hot Zone That Puts Him Among MLB's Elite

His tenth-inning double against San Francisco highlighted an unwritten rule: challenging the Mexican infielder with certain bullpen arms can be a direct path to trouble.
Houston Astros third baseman Isaac Paredes (15).
Houston Astros third baseman Isaac Paredes (15). | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

In this story:

The tenth inning put Isaac Paredes in a high-pressure situation at Oracle Park. LaMonte Wade Jr. had drawn a leadoff walk, Jeremy Peña put the Houston Astros ahead with a single, and after Yordan Álvarez's infield fly, the offense needed a key hit to put the game away.

On the mound, Jason Foley had to attack. He did so with a 95.8 mph sinker on the inner third, the classic pitch to tie up a power hitter and keep him from extending his arms.

Paredes didn't need to.

He waited for the pitch, got his hands out in front, and sent the ball down the third-base line. The line drive left his bat at 103.1 mph toward left field to break the game open: Wade and Peña scored, Houston's win probability jumped to 92.7%, and the Astros sealed a 6-3 victory.

The hit was a perfect snapshot of what the Sonora native has done all season: when he pulls the ball, he not only gets into his best contact zone, but also produces at a superstar level in the major leagues.

Absolute Pull-Side Power

Isaac Paredes
Isaac Paredes | Savant Baseball

All statistics are from Baseball Savant.

Pitchers usually target the inner third to tie up a hitter's hands. Against Paredes, that location can work against them. The Mexican infielder moves his contact point out in front of the plate, turning inside pitches into one of his biggest sources of production.

When he drives the ball toward left field, his numbers reach elite territory:

  • Pull-side slugging: .663
  • ISO: .343
  • wRC+: 170 (70% above league average)

That production drops sharply when he hits the ball up the middle (.359 SLG, 78 wRC+) or to the opposite field (.319 SLG, 60 wRC+). Foley tried to tie him up inside, but attacked the exact area where Paredes' hand speed can do the most damage.

The Bullpen's Silent Threat

Houston Astros third baseman Isaac Paredes (15).
Houston Astros third baseman Isaac Paredes (15). | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

Paredes' impact against relievers is not the product of a single night. Between 2025 and 2026, facing bullpen arms exclusively, he has posted a .865 OPS, putting him firmly among the top twenty hitters in baseball in that category, in the same company as Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani and Juan Soto.

His .380 on-base percentage against relievers shows how effective he has been once the starter leaves the mound. When relievers have to attack the zone to avoid walks, Paredes has taken advantage: he has accumulated 16 home runs and 60 RBIs against relief arms during this span, with a .485 slugging percentage.

The Cost of Falling Behind in the Count

Houston Astros third baseman Isaac Paredes (15).
Houston Astros third baseman Isaac Paredes (15). | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

The sequence leading to the key hit against San Francisco began with an 86.3 mph slider out of the zone that Paredes took. After falling behind 1-0, Foley lost some of his margin for error.

With a favorable count, the balance of the at-bat shifts toward the hitter. Paredes posts a 130 wRC+ when he gets ahead 1-0, putting more pressure on the pitcher to attack the zone.

When the pitch enters the zone and the contact comes off as a line drive—like the 14-degree launch-angle hit at Oracle Park—the results are elite: a .598 batting average, .701 slugging percentage and 275 wRC+ on line drives.

Paredes doesn't need to cover the entire field to be dangerous. His advantage lies in hunting the pitch he can pull into his preferred zone. That is where a pitch designed to neutralize his power can end up changing the game.

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Yirsandy Rodriguez
YIRSANDY RODRIGUEZ

Yirsandy is a baseball writer specializing in MLB coverage with experience across multiple teams and storylines. He currently writes for Diamond Centric, where he covers the New York Mets, San Diego Padres, Chicago Cubs, Milwaukee Brewers, and Kansas City Royals. My work focuses on game coverage, player analysis, and storytelling that connects performance with context. My Substack has also been an important part of my writing development, where I’ve built much of my baseball coverage and storytelling voice over time. I’m passionate about combining reporting, research, and thoughtful analysis to produce engaging baseball content for readers.

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