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Inside The Rangers

The Numbers Behind Rangers Reliever Jacob Latz’s Brilliant Start

The Texas Rangers have one of the most versatile relievers in baseball and Jacob Latz is off to a red-hot start.
Texas Rangers relief pitcher Jacob Latz.
Texas Rangers relief pitcher Jacob Latz. | Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images

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Anyone that need a quick reminder why Texas Rangers reliever Jacob Latz is so good got one on Tuesday night.

The left-hander entered the game, a 5-1 Rangers victory over Pittsburgh, in the eighth inning staked to that four-run lead. He worked quickly through the lineup. He struck out Oneil Cruz, got Ryan O’Hearn to fly out and then struck out Bryan Reynolds. He threw 14 pitches, nine strikes and then handed the ball to Jakob Junis in the ninth inning.

Latz has worked in high leverage, in lower leverage and even started a game this season. At one point he set a franchise record for most batters faced to start a season without allowing a hit, which was 30 straight batters. He has the most hitless at-bats against right-handed hitters in the Majors this season. It just shows why the Rangers gave him the room to compete for a starting job with Kumar Rocker without compromising his bullpen spot. He’s that vital to the staff.

Here’s a look at Latz after 11 appearances.

Jacob Latz At a Glance

Here are Latz’s baseline numbers after 11 games:

He is 0-1 with a 1.32 ERA in 11 games with one start, with 12 strikeouts and three walks. He is averaging 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings (right on last year’s pace) and averaging 0.7 walks per nine innings (right on last year’s pace). He’s allowed four hits in 13.2 innings. Batters are hitting just .087 against him.

Latz has already collected a bWAR of 0.6. He set his career best last season with a 1.4 bWAR after he appeared in 33 games, with eight starts, and went 2-0 with a 2.84 ERA with one save.   

His most interesting split is against right-handed and left-handed hitters. He’s given up four hits, all of which have been to left-handers. They’re only batting .160 against, but he’s allowed all his damage to batters on his side of the plate. Right-handers have failed to get a hit in 21 at-bats. He’s struck out hitters evenly on both sides of the plate (six each).

Statcast Numbers

Statcast numbers can be tricky for a reliever, but his pitching run value is in the 89th percentile (5) and his fastball run value is in the 95nd percentile (5). Both pitches are serving him well early in the season.

He’s also dominant in two predictive areas. First is xERA, which is expected ERA. His 1.70 is in the 98th percentile. That measures the amount of contact and the quality of contact to credit the pitcher for what happens at the moment of contact. Second is xBA, or expected batting average, .135 and in the 98th percentile. This measures the likelihood a batted ball becomes a hit based on exit velocity, launch angle, and sprint speed.

One can take this to mean that batters aren’t getting quality contact and batted balls are unlikely to become hits. Both numbers would be the best of his career if he’s able to maintain them.

The Bottom Line So Far

Texas Rangers pitcher Jacob Latz throws a baseball.
Texas Rangers pitcher Jacob Latz. | Dennis Lee-Imagn Images

This is why Latz was guaranteed a job whether he was a starter or a reliever. He’s indispensable to this pitching staff. It’s hard to find relievers with four solid pitches, and Latz has them. He’s leaned hard into his four-seam fastball, throwing it 50% of the time, and he’s playing that well of his slider (30%). It’s why he’s a candidate for higher-leverage situations if Kumar Rocker can lock down the fifth starter job.

Through the road trip, Latz allowed hits on just four different hitting counts, some of which were surprising — 0-1, 0-2, 3-1 and 3-2. Anywhere in between and he’s been perfect.

Latz won’t be going anywhere anytime soon. He may be the best pitcher in the bullpen, all things considered.  

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Matthew Postins
MATT POSTINS

Matthew Postins is an award-winning sports journalist who covers Major League Baseball for OnSI. He also covers the Big 12 Conference for Heartland College Sports.

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