Atlanta Hawks vs Toronto Raptors: Spread and Final Score Predictions

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After getting a big win over the Miami Heat on Saturday and moving into 6th place in the Eastern Conference, the Atlanta Hawks begin a long road trip tonight with a matchup against the Toronto Raptors. Both teams are on streaks of different kinds heading into today's game. Atlanta has won three in a row while the Raptors have lost their last nine games and have slipped to the bottom of the Eastern Conference. This is the first meeting between the two teams this season.
Onyeka Okongwu (knee inflammation), Trae Young (heel contusion), and Bogdan Bogdanovic (leg contusion) are all questionable for tonight while Dyson Daniels (illness) and Larry Nance Jr. (right hand) are both out.
Coming into tonight's game, the Hawks are 8th in the NBA in PPG, 13th in FG%, 20th in 3PA, 19th in 3P%, 3rd in FTA, 27th in turnovers, and 4th in rebounding. Per Cleaning the Glass, Atlanta is 14th in points per 100 possessions, 18th in effective field goal percentage, 19th in turnover percentage, 7th in offensive rebounding percentage, and 7th in free throw rate.
Currently, the Hawks rank 27th in PPG allowed 20th in field goal percentage allowed, 30th in three-point attempts allowed, and 29th in three-point percentage allowed. Per Cleaning the Glass, Atlanta is 16th in points allowed per 100 possessions and 28th in effective field goal percentage allowed.
The Raptors are 13th in PPG, 16th in field goal percentage, 28th in 3PA, 23rd in 3P%, 13th in free throw attempts, 9th in rebounding, and 20th in turnovers. Per Cleaning the Glass, the Raptors are 19th in points allowed per 100 possessions, 22nd in effective field goal percentage, 22nd in turnover percentage, 4th in offensive rebounding percentage, and 21st in free throw rate.
Defensively, Toronto ranks 26th in PPG allowed, 16th in FG% allowed, 19th in 3PA allowed, and 9th in three-point percentage allowed. Per Cleaning the Glass, 25th in points allowed per 100 possessions and 13th in effective field goal percentage allowed.
Odds
Coming into tonight, the Hawks are 1.5-point favorites vs the Raptors and the total is set at 239 according to Fanduel Sportsbook.
Prediction
The Hawks have some things going against them in this game and it could go against them further if the injury report breakd the wrong way. If Okongwu is out, the Hawks lose their frontcourt depth and they are going to be without their best perimeter defender. If Bogdanovic is out, that further weakens their depth and the Hawks are playing on a back-to-back, while Toronto has a two-day rest advantage. Still, I think the Hawks have enough to win this game against one of the worst teams in the league.
Final Score: Hawks 124, Raptors 118
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Jackson Caudell has been covering Georgia Tech Athletics For On SI since March 2022 and the Atlanta Hawks for On SI since October 2023. Jackson is also the co-host of the Bleav in Georgia Tech podcast and he loves to bring thoughtful analysis and comprehensive coverage to everything that he does. Find him on X @jacksoncaudell
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