Ominous trend points to different kind of 'trap' game for Bills against lowly Browns

The Buffalo Bills are favored by 10 points over the Cleveland Browns, but have been upset twice this season as big favorites.

Josh Allen | Lon Horwedel-Imagn Images

Before this season, the Buffalo Bills were the rare team that was favored in all 17 of its games. After a couple of upset losses, oddsmakers wised up.

But now, as the Bills are seemingly peaking at the right time, here we go again. Against the hapless Cleveland Browns Sunday afternoon the Bills are favored by an unusually high 10 points, according to DraftKings Sportsbook.

It's a mismatch in the standings, on the rosters and, likely, on the field. But this wonky season is suggesting — at least to Bills bettors — that the Browns could be a trap game.

MORE: AFC favorite Buffalo Bills have recent success against every contender except one

The Bills are 7-7 against the spread. This will be the fifth time they are favored in a game by more than a touchdown. In the previous four they have failed to cover each time, and outright lost twice in major upsets.

Week 3 vs. Dolphins (-11.5)

Won, 31-21

Week 4 vs. Saints (-14.5)

Won, 31-19

Bills-Browns | Lon Horwedel-Imagn Images

Week 6 vs. Patriots (-7.5)

Lost, 23-20

Week 9 at Dolphins (-8.5)

Lost, 30-13

Coming off last week's epic comeback win over the Patriots, the Bills have on three in a row. They have designs on being the AFC's No. 1 Wild Card, and possibly still catching New England to win a sixth consecutive AFC East title.

MORE: Miami Dolphins' elimination has playoff impact on surging Buffalo Bills

The Browns, conversely, have raised the white flag. Rookie Shedeur Sanders has flopped, getting sacked five times and throwing three interceptions in last week's 31-3 loss to the Chicago Bears. Since beating the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 12, the Browns have lost by 18 to the San Francisco 49ers, lost to the 2-12 Tennessee Titans and lost by 28 at Chicago.

Still, given their trend as big favorites this season, it's Bills' buyers beware Sunday in Cleveland.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

James Cook | Tim Fuller-Imagn Images

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