Best NFL Prediction Market Apps: Ranked September 2026

Before the deep dives, here's how the best prediction market apps for the NFL stack up against each other in terms of prediction market promos, NFL features, and where they're available.

To find the best NFL prediction market apps and sites, I evaluated every platform in this guide using the same eight criteria. My rankings focus on the factors that matter most when trading NFL event contracts on mobile devices and desktops, including market selection, fees, liquidity, availability, and the overall trading experience.

• 🏈 NFL market selection: I compared the number and variety of NFL prediction markets available, including game winners, spreads, totals, player props, parlays, Super Bowl markets, and season-long futures.
• 💰 Pricing and fees: I reviewed what each platform charges for trades, parlays, deposits, and withdrawals, and how those costs can affect your potential returns.
• 💧 Liquidity: I looked at the trading activity behind NFL contracts and how easily you can enter or exit a position without significantly affecting the price.
• 📊 Order types: I checked whether each platform supports limit orders, market orders, or other ways to control your trade price.
• 📍 State availability: I reviewed where each NFL prediction market is currently available for sports event contracts, taking recent regulatory developments into account.
• 📋 Settlement clarity: I compared how clearly each platform explains its contract rules, settlement criteria, and official resolution sources.
• 📱 Mobile experience: I tested how easy it is to find NFL markets, place and manage trades, and navigate each prediction market app on iOS and Android.
• 🔒 Security and regulation: I considered each platform's regulatory status, account security features, and how it handles customer funds.

The best NFL each offers something different, from deeper liquidity and lower fees to parlays and rewards. 

The best NFL prediction market apps give you more ways to trade on the NFL, with differences in liquidity, fees, NFL market selection, combo builders, and rewards.

I'll compare the top prediction market platforms for NFL trading, including their top NFL trading features, available football markets, fees, and welcome bonuses, while highlighting the pros and cons of each app so you can decide where to trade ahead of the 2026/27 NFL season.

Here is my ranking of the best NFL prediction markets in 2026:

1. Kalshi - Best overall NFL prediction market site
2. Polymarket - Best for NFL market liquidity
3. DraftKings Predictions - Best NFL prediction market site for sports traders
4. Novig - Best NFL prediction market site for rewards
5. ProphetX - Best for NFL futures parlays
6. Underdog Predict - Best NFL prediction market app for fantasy players
7. Gemini Predictions- Best NFL prediction market app for promos
8. OG.com - Best for social NFL trading
9. Plus500 - Best NFL prediction market app for low-fee trading
10. Crypto.com - Best NFL prediction market site for crypto users

Kalshi earns our top spot as the best trading platform for NFL prediction markets because it had the best all-around experience in my testing. Its dedicated NFL section makes it easy to jump between weekly games and season-long markets, with contracts covering game winners, spreads, division and conference winners, MVP, Super Bowl futures, and more.

I also found Kalshi NFL markets easy to navigate on both mobile and desktop. They're all organized in one place, so I could quickly move from Sunday's matchups to longer-term futures without searching the platform.

🏈 What I like for NFL trading

• Organized NFL hub: Weekly games, futures, and other NFL contracts are organized in one section that's easy to follow and find what you're looking for.
• Strong market variety: You can trade individual games alongside division, conference, MVP, and Super Bowl markets, and so much more, including where players will land on the NFL Top 100 list.
• Good for live trading NFL: As games unfold and prices fluctuate, you can be sure of a smooth live trading experience on Kalshi.

✍️ My take: Kalshi was the best platform I tested for NFL prediction markets, and the one I'd recommend first to any new traders getting started with NFL event contract trading this season. Having NFL spreads, player-focused contracts, division and conference winners, MVP, Super Bowl futures, and even NFL Top 100 markets organized in one place made finding new trades straightforward. I was particularly impressed with the live trading experience: there was no lag when I needed to adjust or exit my positions as the action unfolded, and new prices appeared immediately on trading slips as the market reacted to new data.

🎁 Kalshi offer

New users can enter the Kalshi promo code SI35 to get $35 in trading credits. This is the largest Kalshi offer currently available. Just complete $25 worth of trades, and you'll be awarded the bonus funds, which you can use on NFL trades right away.

Read our Kalshi review for more details, including a look at the Kalshi referral program.

*Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See http://kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.

When it comes to the money actually moving behind NFL contracts, Polymarket is in a different league. The Polymarket NFL and Super Bowl winner markets had some of the deepest order books of the platforms I tested, which is especially useful when you're trading popular teams or larger NFL futures markets on a prediction market app.

I also liked how much information I could see before making an NFL trade. Contract pages include a live order book and price history, making it easy to check available prices and see how the market's outlook on a team has changed over time.

🏈 What I like for NFL trading

• Deep NFL liquidity: Major NFL and Super Bowl markets attract substantial trading activity.
• NFL futures trading: Team futures are a strength, with active markets that let you trade changing expectations throughout the NFL season rather than waiting until the playoffs.
• Order-book transparency: I could see the prices and available liquidity on both sides of an NFL contract before placing a trade, which helped me judge how easily I could enter or exit a position.

✍️ My take: After using Polymarket for NFL event contract trading, I found its biggest strengths were liquidity and overall pricing. When I placed a $100 Super Bowl futures trade on the Cincinnati Bengals in preseason on Polymarket, the 3.5¢ pricing (3.5% probability) was by far the best available and gave me the potential for over $2,600 in profit. This was substantially larger than the return I would have taken on the same trade on ProphetX or DraftKings Predictions. If you're a serious trader who likes to shop for the best prices on your trades, I'd recommend downloading the Polymarket US app for NFL trading today.

🎁 Polymarket offer

Use the Polymarket promo code SIBONUS to get a $50 trading bonus after making a $10 deposit. This simple offer gives you a nice boost as you start exploring NFL markets. You can then take advantage of the Polymarket referral code to earn bonus credits by inviting friends to the app.

If you're looking for more info, including whether Polymarket is legal in California, then check out our Polymarket review page, which covers everything you need to know. 

18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See http://polymarket.com/tos  for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.

DraftKings Predictions felt immediately familiar when I tested its NFL markets. The platform brings DraftKings' sports-focused design to event contracts, making NFL game markets, player-driven contracts, and season-long futures easy to navigate if you've used other DraftKings products.

That's the biggest reason I'd consider it for NFL trading. Instead of learning the layout of an unfamiliar financial exchange, you get an experience built by a company that already has years of experience designing products around how football fans follow games and players.

🏈 What I like for NFL trading

• Familiar NFL experience: The sports-focused interface should feel recognizable to existing DraftKings users.
• NFL market variety: Trade game markets, player-focused contracts, and season-long NFL futures.
• Easy navigation: Because it's familiar, I found it easy to navigate between different NFL markets without learning a complicated exchange interface.

✍️ My take: As a current DraftKings Sportsbook user, I had no issues migrating to the DraftKings Predictions app or desktop site. The NFL trading menus were familiar and easy to navigate, with simple, well-labeled sub-menus for browsing NFL games, markets, and props. You can create same-game parlays on DraftKings Predictions markets, although at times, liquidity or a lack thereof made it difficult to actually make a combo trade. I expect DraftKings Predictions liquidity to ramp up as the NFL season kicks off, with better selection for NFL spreads and player props for combo and straight trades coming in 2026/2027.

🎁 DraftKings Predictions offer

New users can get $200 in Predictions Dollars with the DraftKings Predictions promo code just by making $5+ worth of trades on the DraftKings Predictions app.

Event Contract Trading is offered by DraftKings Predictions, a CFTC-registered Futures Commission Merchant and NFA member. Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Market availability varies. Eligibility restrictions apply. 1 per new DraftKings customer. $5+ first-time trade req. Max. $200 issued as non-withdrawable Predictions Dollars that expire in 1 year. Reward issued as $50 in Predictions Dollars every 7 days via click-to-claim for 21 days. Click-to-claims expire 7 days after issuance. 7 days = 168hrs. Terms: http://dkng.co/predictionspromo . Ends 9/20/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.  

For a direct comparison to see how DraftKings compares with our top NFL app, check out our Kalshi vs. DraftKings page. 

Novig's rewards program will keep me coming back all NFL season. You can earn Novig Points through eligible parlays and filled market orders, while challenges provide additional opportunities to earn points and climb the platform's monthly rewards tiers.

That rewards system fits particularly well with the week-to-week nature of the NFL season. Novig also offers daily login rewards, while higher monthly tiers can unlock additional Novig Cash and other perks, all alongside a peer-to-peer sports prediction exchange model that charges 0% commission and no vig on standard trades.

🏈 What I like for NFL trading

• No fee structure: 0% commission and no vig on standard trades
• Challenges and rewards: Daily and monthly challenges add another layer to following NFL markets.
• Monthly rewards tiers: Regular NFL traders can accumulate points and work toward additional platform perks throughout the season.

My take: Novig's 0% commission on standard trades made it a favorite of mine during NFL season as I tend to place a ton of weekly NFL prop bets, including O/U on player passing yards, rushing yards and even TDs. You do have to be mindful of price and liquidity before locking in a trade but in many cases, Novig's price structure meant I was getting the best deal by using their platform for my NFL trade over another. The Novig daily and monthly challenges were also a nice feature that kept me engaged and felt a step ahead of other prediction market platforms who don't offer any sort of daily rewards, bonuses or promos. 

🎁 Novig offer

New users can use the Novig promo code SIBONUS to get a $25 bonus after depositing $10.

ProphetX is one of my favorite NFL prediction markets for building parlays. You can combine NFL markets into multi-leg trades, while straight trading lets you bet on moneylines, spreads, totals, and player markets throughout the season.

The biggest advantage is parlay pricing. ProphetX charges no trading fee on net gains from parlay trades, while straight trades carry a 2% fee on net gains per market. That combination makes it one of the best prediction market parlay sites I've tested for NFL traders.

🏈 What I like for NFL trading

• NFL parlays: Seamlessly combine multiple NFL outcomes into a single trade.
• 0% parlay fee: ProphetX doesn't charge a trading fee on net gains from parlay trades, making it a top spot for NFL parlays.
• Price control: On straight trades, you can set your desired price for an NFL trade and wait for another participant to match your order.

✍️ My take: I found the parlay building experience on ProphetX to be one of its best features. Building multi-leg NFL parlays felt straightforward, much like building a parlay on a regular sportsbook where the prices update as you add legs. ProphetX's smaller trading base and lower liquidity created tough pricing dynamics and, at times, limited my trade selection to NFL spreads and moneyline. However, I also benefited from 0% fees on winning parlays and the ability to combine NFL futures on the ProphetX parlay builder. 

🎁 ProphetX offer

Use the ProphetX promo code SICOM and trade $50 (accrued) to unlock a $75 bonus.

Underdog Predict is an especially natural fit for NFL fantasy players because its prediction markets live inside the same Underdog app as its fantasy products. Instead of choosing between the two, NFL users can trade event contracts, play fantasy contests, or build entries that combine prediction and fantasy selections.

The platform gives users several ways to approach an NFL slate, from individual Yes/No contracts to Prediction parlays with up to four picks. That flexibility makes Underdog particularly useful for users who already spend time in its fantasy ecosystem and want prediction markets available without opening another account or learning a separate app.

🏈 What I like for NFL trading

• Predictions and fantasy together: Follow NFL prediction markets and Underdog Fantasy from the same app and account.
• Prediction parlays: Combine as many as four Prediction Picks into one NFL entry.
• Combos across products: Build a single entry that mixes a Prediction Pick with a Fantasy selection, rather than treating them as separate bets.

✍️ My take: Underdog makes the most sense to me for NFL users who already enjoy fantasy football. Having Predictions and Fantasy in one place means I can approach the same Sunday slate in several different ways without managing another standalone app. I also like the ability to build Prediction parlays or mix Prediction and Fantasy selections, which gives Underdog a different NFL experience than platforms focused strictly on individual contracts.

🎁 Underdog offer

New users can use the Underdog promo code SICOM to claim a 50% first-deposit match of up to $1,000 in bonus entries. The full $1,000 bonus requires a $2,000 first deposit.

The deposit and bonus are subject to a 1x playthrough requirement, which must be completed within 14 days.

Gemini Predictions is one of my top choices for NFL prediction markets because it combines live trading tools with strong football promotions. Its dedicated NFL Trading Hub makes it easy to switch between games, track changing prices, and manage open positions, while prepackaged combos offer another way to trade multiple NFL outcomes.

I also liked how Gemini has built more of the NFL experience around live action. Markets and prices update as games unfold, and Live Activities make it easier to keep track of NFL scores while following your positions.

🏈 What I like for NFL trading

• Dedicated NFL Trading Hub: Follow games, changing prices, and open positions from one centralized section instead of jumping between different parts of the platform.
• Strong live trading tools: Gemini makes it easy to react to changing NFL markets and adjust positions while games are in progress.
• NFL combo options: Prepackaged combos let you trade multiple football outcomes together, giving NFL traders more flexibility than standard single-event contracts.

✍️ My take: Gemini impressed me most with its live NFL trading experience. I found it easy to move between games, follow price changes, and keep track of my positions without losing sight of the action. The dedicated NFL Trading Hub makes the platform feel more purpose-built for football, while combo contracts and NFL-specific promotions give traders more ways to get involved throughout the season.

🎁 Gemini Predictions offer

New users can earn a 50% trade match worth up to $100 in Predict Cash with the Gemini Predictions promo code offer. No promo code is required, and eligible users can earn the maximum $100 bonus by completing a qualifying $200 Predictions trade.

I loved how social NFL trading felt on OG.com compared with other platforms. Active markets include live chat, so I could follow what other traders were saying about a matchup while checking its price.

I also found myself checking the trader leaderboard alongside NFL markets. Those features give OG.com more of a community feel during the NFL season, rather than limiting the experience to watching contract prices move.

🏈 What I like for NFL trading

• Live NFL market chat: Follow the conversation around an NFL matchup while you're viewing the market.
• Trader leaderboard: See how other users are performing on NFL trading and where you rank.
• NFL market selection: OG.com covers all NFL games and includes a deep selection of player props for trading

✍️ My take: OG is a solid platform for NFL prediction market trading. It doesn't have the largest welcome bonus, but its trading slips update potential profit instantly as you remove and add markets, and it now features an expanded native combo builder for same-game parlay capability, so you can combine player props and spreads. Even if you're not into the social features, it's still high on my list of the best prediction market apps for NFL trading this season. 

🎁 OG.com offer

New users can claim the OG promo code to get a head start on NFL prediction market trading.

Plus500 earns its spot on our NFL list primarily because of its low, easy-to-calculate contract fees. Prediction market trades carry a $0.01 Plus500 commission and a $0.01 exchange fee, bringing the combined cost to just $0.02 per contract.

That fee structure is paired with a clean trading experience and cents-based contract pricing that makes it easy to interpret what the market is implying about an outcome. Plus500 also displays open-interest data, giving NFL traders another useful metric to check before deciding whether to enter a position.

🏈 What I like for NFL trading

• Low contract fees: Just $0.02 in combined commission and exchange fees per prediction contract.
• Easy position tracking: Open positions and market activity are easy to follow from within the Plus500 platform.
• Open-interest data: You can see how many contracts are currently held on an event before entering a position.

✍️ My take: The fee structure is what would make me reach for Plus500 during a busy NFL week. When I am looking at several games or expect to buy multiple contracts, knowing the basic trading cost upfront makes comparing positions easier. I also like having open-interest data available directly on the market, since it gives me a quick sense of activity before I commit to a trade.

🎁 Plus500 offer

New users can enter the Plus500 promo code SICOM to claim the current Trade $10, Get $20 welcome offer after completing the qualifying trading requirement.

If you already use Crypto.com, NFL prediction markets fit naturally into the app you're already using. I found the Predictions section easy to access from an existing account, so you can move from your regular Crypto.com activity to checking NFL contracts without setting up a separate prediction market account.

For NFL trading, Crypto.com offers game winners, plus conference, division, and playoff markets, through its CFTC-registered CDNA exchange. I think its biggest advantage is convenience for existing Crypto.com users who want NFL markets available in the same ecosystem.

🏈 What I like for NFL trading

• NFL markets in one app: Access NFL prediction markets from the same Crypto.com account you already use.
• NFL futures: Trade conference, division, playoff, and other longer-term NFL outcomes are easy to locate and trade on.
• Easy account access: Existing users don't need to manage a completely separate platform just for NFL contracts.

✍️ My take: Crypto.com has a basic setup for trading NFL prediction markets, but convenience is a big factor, especially if you already have a Crypto.com account. I could access NFL contracts without signing up for or funding a completely separate prediction market platform, and I found NFL futures covering divisions, conferences, playoffs, and other season-long outcomes easy to locate. 

🎁 Crypto.com offer

You can use the Crypto.com referral code to earn up to $2,000 in CRO.

NFL prediction market apps offer contracts covering individual games, player performances and season-long outcomes. The exact selection varies by platform, but the best NFL prediction markets now include many of the same familiar options found at sportsbooks, along with more specialized event contracts.

🏈 NFL game-winner contracts

Predict which team will win an individual NFL game. These work like moneylines, except contracts typically trade between 1¢ and 99¢, and prices can move as users buy and sell.

For example, if I buy 100 contracts on the Falcons at a 40% ($0.40) probability to beat the Saints and they win, my contracts would pay out $1.00 each, and I'd make $60 profit with a $100 total payout.

 ➕ NFL spread and point differential contracts

Trade on whether a team will cover a specific point spread or handicap. Many platforms offer multiple alternate spread contracts for the same game, so you can take a regular line or more extreme lines with a higher payout.

For example, I buy 100 contracts on the Chiefs +3.5 at $0.52 ($52 investment) per contract vs. the Broncos. If the Chiefs win 27-24, my contracts would pay $1.00 each, and I'd make $48 in profit on a $100 total payout.

🔢 NFL totals contracts

Predict whether the combined score will finish above or below a set number. Depending on the app, you may also find team totals and alternate game totals.

For example, if Seattle vs. New England Over 46.5 points is trading at 52¢, that price represents roughly a 52% implied probability. If the teams combine for 47 or more points, each winning contract settles at $1, producing a 48¢ profit per contract before any applicable fees.

👤 NFL player prop market contracts

Trade player outcomes such as passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, touchdowns, and other statistical performances. Player-market selection varies considerably between prediction apps, making this an important category to compare.

For example, if Josh Allen Over 275.5 passing yards is trading at 55¢, buying 100 contracts would cost $55. If Allen throws for 276 yards or more, the contracts settle at $1 each, returning $100 for a $45 profit before fees.

🏆 Super Bowl and NFL futures

Super Bowl winner is typically the biggest season-long NFL prediction market, but you can also trade conference champions, division winners, playoff qualifiers, and other team futures. Prices move throughout the season as results, injuries, and roster changes alter expectations.

For example, if the Rams to win the Super Bowl are trading at 16¢, 100 contracts would cost $16. If Los Angeles wins the Super Bowl, those contracts settle at $1 each for a $100 payout and $84 profit before fees.

⭐ NFL MVP and awards contracts

Predict the winners of the NFL MVP, Offensive Player of the Year, Defensive Player of the Year, Rookie of the Year, and other major awards. Some platforms also offer season-long markets on statistical leaders for categories such as passing yards or touchdowns.

For example, if Josh Allen to win NFL MVP is trading at 11¢, 100 contracts would cost $11. If Allen wins the award, those contracts settle at $1 each, returning $100 for an $89 profit before fees.

📈 NFL win totals and season results contracts

Trade on how many regular-season games a team will win, whether it will make the playoffs, its potential playoff seed, and other season-long results.

For example, if Carolina Under 7.5 regular-season wins is trading at 46¢, 100 contracts would cost $46. If the Panthers finish with eight or more wins, the contracts settle at $1 each, returning $100 for a $54 profit before fees.

You may also find more specialized NFL event contracts covering trades, free agency, coaching changes, the NFL Draft, and other league storylines. These markets are less universal but are one of the biggest differences between prediction market apps and traditional NFL betting sites.

The best NFL prediction market apps for event contract trading turn a season-long speculative habit into something you can actually manage from your pocket, with live pricing, push alerts, and one-tap order confirmation built for game day.

Here's how the top NFL trading platforms compare on mobile, and what to check before you pick one.

What sets the apps apart from desktop sites

Every platform on this list runs a mobile app alongside its desktop site, and during NFL trading windows, the app is where most of the action happens. Push alerts for line moves, one-tap order confirmation, and portfolio views built for a phone screen all matter more on Sunday than they do when you're planning season-long future bets on your computer.

iOS vs. Android availability and app-store ratings context

All seven platforms offer iOS and Android apps with generally similar features. App ratings can change frequently, especially during the NFL season, so check the App Store or Google Play for the latest ratings and reviews before downloading.

What to check in an NFL prediction market app

Before you commit to a platform for the season, open the app and confirm a few things for yourself.

• Live price updates: Does the market price refresh in real time as a game unfolds, or does it lag?
• Order confirmation: Can you see exactly what you're trading, at what price, before you confirm?
• Alerts: Can you set price alerts or line-move notifications for specific NFL markets?
• Cash-out: Can you exit a position before a game ends, and is that option clearly shown in the app?

Your personal preferences will have a say in which platform you'll use for trading on NFL markets. Here is what each of them does best:

Best overall NFL Prediction Market: 🟢 Kalshi

Kalshi's NFL hub and straightforward user experience make it the easiest place for most traders to start.

Best for NFL market liquidity: 🔵 Polymarket

Polymarket's deep order books make it the pick if you're trading marquee NFL or Super Bowl contracts and don't want your own trade to move the price.

Best for NFL parlays: 🔮 ProphetX

ProphetX's limit orders and 0% parlay fee let you set your own price and combine legs without giving up a cut of your profit.

Best for NFL rewards: ➡️ Novig

Novig's daily login bonuses, NFL prediction challenges, and leaderboards give you a reason to open the app between games, not just on Sundays.

Best for NFL social trading features: 🟠 OG

OG.com's leaderboard and live chat make it the pick if you want to see what other traders think while you decide on a position.

Best NFL prediction market for crypto users: 🪙 Crypto.com

Crypto.com keeps NFL trading inside the same app as your existing crypto holdings.

Best for NFL prediction market for sports traders: 👑DraftKings Predictions

DraftKings Predictions is the natural fit if you already know the DraftKings ecosystem and want a familiar brand while you get used to event-contract trading.

The best NFL prediction market for you depends on what and how you want to trade. I recommend comparing operators like Kalshi or Polymarket on NFL market coverage, fees, liquidity, availability, and settlement rules before choosing a platform.

🏈 Compare NFL markets and trading options

Start with the types of NFL markets you want to trade. Game winners are widely available, but coverage of player props, weekly game markets, division futures and Super Bowl futures can vary by platform.

If you like building parlays, ProphetX stands out with its 0% fee on net gains from parlay trades. Polymarket is my pick for traders who prioritize deep liquidity on major NFL and Super Bowl markets, while Kalshi offers a well-rounded experience that's easy to navigate.

💰 Check fees and NFL market liquidity

Fees directly affect how much you can make from a winning trade, while liquidity affects how easily you can enter or exit a position at the price you want. Compare the fees, spreads and trading volume in the table above, but also check the specific NFL markets you're interested in before trading.

📍 Confirm availability in your state

Prediction market availability varies by location, and access to sports event contracts can differ by platform. Check that the platform and the NFL markets you want to trade are available where you live before signing up or depositing funds.

📋 Read the market settlement rules

Always check a contract's settlement rules before placing a trade. The rules should explain exactly what needs to happen for the contract to settle as 'Yes' or 'No', which source determines the official result and when the market will resolve.

NFL prediction markets let you trade contracts on the outcome of real NFL events instead of placing a traditional fixed-odds bet. A 'Yes' or 'No' contract is typically priced between $0.01 and $1, with the price representing the market's implied probability of that outcome.

A contract trading at 35¢, for example, implies roughly a 35% chance that the event will happen. If you're holding a winning contract when the market settles, it's worth $1; a losing contract settles at $0.

For example, let's say I wanted to trade $100 on Seattle to beat New England in the market above. Seattle 'Yes' contracts cost 65¢ each, so $100 would buy about 153 contracts. If the Seahawks win, each contract settles at $1, giving me about $153 back for a profit of roughly $53 before any applicable fees. If Seattle loses, the contracts settle at $0, and I'd lose the $100 I traded.

Here is the same trade broken down by steps below:

• You trade $100 on Seattle to win.
• Seattle “Yes” contracts cost $0.65 each.
• At that price, $100 buys about 153 contracts.
• If Seattle wins: Each contract settles at $1, so you get about $153 back — roughly a $53 profit, before any applicable fees.
• If Seattle loses: Each contract settles at $0, so you lose the $100 you traded.

The price also gives me a quick read on what the market thinks will happen. Seattle's 65¢ 'Yes' price implies roughly a 65% chance of winning, while New England's 36¢ 'Yes' price implies roughly a 36% chance. Those prices can change leading up to the game as traders buy and sell contracts.

Unlike a sportsbook, where you generally wager against the operator at odds it posts, prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell contracts at market-driven prices. Another key difference is that you can typically exit your position before the market settles by selling your contracts, rather than holding them until the final result.

Last updated: Sept. 11, 2026

We update the NFL prediction markets below regularly to track current contract prices and implied probabilities across Kalshi and Polymarket. With Week 1 now underway, traders can choose from game winners, spreads, totals, player markets, and season-long NFL futures.

🏈 NFL game prediction markets this week

Week 1 continues this weekend with the first full Sunday slate on Sept. 13. Bills-Texans is currently close to a coin flip, while the Cowboys and Chiefs are favored in the two prime-time games below.

The closest game in this group is Bills vs. Texans, with Buffalo trading around 52¢ on both platforms. The Rams are around a 64%–65% favorite tonight, while Dallas and Kansas City are favored in the Sunday and Monday night games.

The spread and total markets also provide more ways to trade Week 1. Polymarket currently has Rams -3.5 at 51¢ and Over 47.5 at 52¢ for tonight's game.

Prices checked Sept. 11, 2026. Prediction market prices can change at any time.

🏆 Super Bowl winner prediction markets

The Los Angeles Rams remain the clear favorite to win Super Bowl LXI, trading around 17¢ on both platforms. Buffalo is the top AFC contender, while Seattle, Baltimore and Kansas City make up the next tier.

There has been little separation between the two platforms at the top of the Super Bowl market. The Rams are roughly twice as likely as any other team to win the championship based on current prices, while Buffalo sits second at 8¢–9¢.

Kalshi's 2027 NFL Champion market has now generated more than $86 million in trading volume, while Polymarket's equivalent market has surpassed $51 million.

Prices and volume checked Sept. 11, 2026. Prediction market prices can change at any time.

⭐ NFL MVP prediction markets

The MVP race remains considerably tighter than the Super Bowl market. Lamar Jackson currently leads Polymarket, but Justin Herbert, Josh Allen, Joe Burrow, Dak Prescott and Drake Maye are all clustered close behind.

Polymarket's 2026 NFL MVP market has now generated roughly $740,000 in trading volume, up from about $656,000 when we last checked. Lamar Jackson leads its market at around 12%, but there is still no runaway favorite with Herbert and Allen at 11% and Burrow, Prescott and Maye all around 10%.

The differences between platforms remain more noticeable in the MVP market than in Super Bowl futures, particularly for Jackson, Prescott and Maye.

Prices and volume checked Sept. 11, 2026. Prediction market prices can change at any time.

NFL prediction market apps are not regulated the same way as traditional sportsbooks. Federally regulated prediction markets offer sports event contracts under CFTC oversight, rather than individual state gaming regulators.

Availability still depends on the platform, your location, and current regulations. Before signing up for an NFL prediction market app, consider these factors:

• Platform availability: Not every prediction market app is available in every state.
• NFL market access: Sports contract availability can vary by platform and location.
• Current regulations: Prediction market laws and regulations continue to evolve, so availability can change.
• Platform restrictions: NFL markets, deposit methods, and trading features can differ between apps.

Always check whether your preferred prediction market app and its NFL markets are available in your state before signing up. If one NFL prediction platform isn't available where you're located, then check out our other guides for some alternatives:

• Apps like Kalshi
• Apps like Polymarket
• Apps like Novig
• Apps like Robinhood's prediction market

The biggest difference in the prediction markets vs. sports betting debate is how each market works. A sportsbook sets the odds and takes the other side of your bet, while a prediction market lets you trade contracts against other participants, with prices determined by the market rather than a bookmaker.

Pricing also differs. Sportsbooks typically use American odds, such as +150 or -110, while prediction markets price contracts in cents based on implied probability. For example, a 35-cent contract represents roughly a 35% chance that the outcome will occur. Prediction markets can also provide more flexibility because you can often sell your position before an event ends rather than waiting for settlement.

Regulation is another key distinction. Prediction markets generally operate under federal CFTC oversight as derivatives markets, while legal sportsbooks are licensed and regulated at the state level.

Because they operate under a different regulatory framework, some NFL prediction market apps are available in states without legal online sportsbooks. That gives users looking for California sports betting, Florida sports betting, Georgia sports betting, and Texas sports betting another way to trade on NFL outcomes where available.

Beyond our top-rated platforms, several other NFL prediction market apps offer sports event contracts or plan to enter the market. The table below covers all the options to consider for the 2026 NFL season.

More NFL prediction market options are also coming. Underdog offers prediction markets alongside its fantasy sports products; check our Underdog promo code page for the latest new-user offer. ROLR is currently in its waitlist phase, and we'll update our ROLR prediction market promo code page as more details become available.

Users will also want to check out the new Plus500 promo code for prediction markets. The financial trading platform now offers a fully functional prediction market exchange to trade on NFL and real-world events.

If you want to see how an NFL prediction market app stacks up against one of the best political prediction market platforms, check out our Kalshi vs. Predictit page for our take.

CFTC-regulated prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket operate as federally regulated exchanges, which the CFTC treats as financial derivatives available nationwide rather than products that require state-by-state licensing like sportsbooks do. In practice, access still varies by state because of ongoing litigation between platforms and individual state gaming regulators, particularly around sports contracts. A handful of states currently restrict or block sports event contracts entirely, while other markets on the same platform may remain available.

This is a fast-moving legal landscape, and state availability listed in this guide reflects the most recent information available as of publication.

NFL prediction markets offer a different way to trade on football, but they aren't risk-free. Prices, liquidity, fees, and even market availability can change, so understand the potential downsides before putting money into an NFL contract.

• 📈 Price swings: NFL contract prices can move quickly around injury news, weather, or lineup changes, similar to how a stock price reacts to news.
• 💧 Liquidity and depth: Thinner markets, like a player prop late in the week, can be harder to enter or exit at a fair price than a marquee market like the Super Bowl winner.
• 📋 Settlement nuance: Always confirm the exact resolution source and rules for a contract before trading it, since settlement criteria can vary by platform.
• 💰 Fees and spreads: Compare trading fees across platforms before you commit, since they range from 0% on some parlay products to a few percent on straight trades.
• ⚠️ Margin risk: Some platforms offer leverage or margin features. Before using them, understand exactly how much you can lose.
• ⚖️ Changing legal access: State availability for sports contracts is still being litigated in several states and can change during the season.

Event contract trading involves financial risk, so trade only money you can afford to lose. Trade responsibly.