Start ‘Em, Sit ‘Em Quarterbacks Fantasy Football Week 12: Welcome Back, Lamar Jackson
Start ‘Em, Sit 'Em is the ultimate look at the best and worst matchups based on a PPR scoring system in fantasy football. This column will not cover the elite players in the NFL like Josh Allen, Austin Ekeler or Tyreek HIll. Instead, I'll look at the players you have questions about who could exceed or fail to meet expectations at each position. For all of your final fantasy lineup decisions, be sure to check out my weekly player rankings which will be updated daily throughout the 2022 NFL season.
Fabs Top 10 quarterbacks
1. Patrick Mahomes vs. Rams
2. Josh Allen at Lions (Thur.)
3. Jalen Hurts vs. Packers
4. Tua Tagovailoa vs. Texans
5. Lamar Jackson at Jaguars
6. Joe Burrow at Titans
7. Justin Herbert at Cardinals
8. Dak Prescott vs. Giants (Thur.)
9. Geno Smith vs. Raiders
10. Kyler Murray vs. Chargers
Week 12 Start ‘Em, Sit ‘Em: QUARTERBACKS | RUNNING BACKS | WIDE RECEIVERS | TIGHT ENDS | KICKERS & TEAM DEFENSES
Jessica Rapfogel-USA TODAY Sports
Week 12 Start ‘Em: Quarterbacks
Start of the Week
Lamar Jackson at Jaguars (1 p.m. ET, CBS): I never thought I’d have to include Jackson in this column, but he’s been very underwhelming. In fact, he’s just 15th in fantasy points per game among quarterbacks since Week 4. That’s seven games! I’d keep the faith this week, though, as Jackson faces a Jaguars defense that has given up the second-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks since Week 8.
SI Sportsbook Player Prop: Jackson anytime TD (+140)
Start ‘Em
Tua Tagovailoa vs. Texans (1 p.m. ET, CBS): Tagovailoa has been on absolute fire, scoring 23-plus points in three straight games. The Texans have actually been tough on quarterbacks, allowing the third-fewest points per game at the position, but that’s because teams run all over their defense. Justin Herbert, Jalen Hurts and Daniel Jones have all beaten Houston for 18-plus points, though, so start Tua.
Joe Burrow at Titans (1 p.m. ET, CBS): Burrow is coming off a huge performance in a win over the Steelers, and next on the slate is a tasty matchup in Tennessee. Their defense has allowed 18 touchdown passes in 10 games, and quarterbacks are averaging more than 19 fantasy points against them this season. While I think this will be a close contest, I like Burrow to score 18-plus points this weekend.
SI Sportsbook Player Prop: Burrow over 270.5 passing yards (-125)
Geno Smith vs. Raiders (4:05 p.m. ET, CBS): Smith continues to exceed all of our expectations, scoring 19-plus fantasy points in each of his last three games. He’ll be a borderline No. 1 option this week, too, as Smith faces a Raiders team that has allowed the third-most fantasy points to quarterbacks. In fact, their defense has allowed 17-plus points to all but two opposing field generals in their 10 games.
Matt Ryan vs. Steelers (Mon. 8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN): Ryan put up a big stinker last week, scoring 8.6 fantasy points in a loss to the Eagles. Still, he’s posted 22-plus points in two of his last four games and a matchup against the Steelers makes him a viable one-week streamer. Pittsburgh’s defense has allowed the sixth-most points to opposing quarterbacks, including six who have scored 17.9 or more points.
More Starts
• Jimmy Garoppolo vs. Saints (4:25 p.m. ET, Fox)
• Taylor Heinicke vs. Falcons (1 p.m. ET, Fox)
DFS Bargains
• Geno Smith vs. Raiders ($6,000)
• Jimmy Garoppolo vs. Saints ($5,600)
• Taylor Heinicke vs. Falcons ($5,300)
Week 12 Sit ‘Em: Quarterbacks
Sit of the Week
Russell Wilson at Panthers (1 p.m. ET, Fox): Wilson has had great matchups in each of his last two games but he failed to score even 15 fantasy points in either. He’s now failed to score more than 14.2 points in five straight games, and I’d sit (or cut) him ahead of a game in Carolina. Believe it or not, the Panthers have held Tom Brady, Matthew Stafford and Lamar Jackson to fewer than 16 points in 2022.
SI Sportsbook Player Prop: Wilson under 1.5 TD passes (-250)
Sit ‘Em
Tom Brady at Browns (1 p.m. ET, Fox): Brady and the Buccaneers have posted two straight wins, but his fantasy totals still haven’t been great. In fact, he’s failed to score more than 16 points in four of his last five games. He’ll be a risk-reward QB1 this week in Cleveland, as the Browns have held Justin Herbert, Joe Burrow, Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson to fewer than 15 points in games this season.
Aaron Rodgers at Eagles (8:20 p.m. ET, NBC): Rodgers has scored 19-plus points in two straight games, but I have a hard time trusting him when the Packers face the Eagles. Their defense has allowed just nine touchdown passes and an average of 9.3 points per game to opposing quarterbacks, and they’ve been very tough at home. Unless you’re in a super flex league, Rodgers should be benched.
SI Sportsbook Player Prop: Rodgers under 223.5 passing yards (-125)
Trevor Lawrence vs. Ravens (1 p.m. ET, CBS): Lawrence has posted 18-plus points in three of his last five games, but this week’s matchup against the Ravens makes him a fade for me. Their defense has been tough on quarterbacks, giving up the third-fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks since Week 8. What’s more, their defense hasn’t allowed more than 17.3 points to the position in six straight games.
Marcus Mariota at Commanders (1 p.m. ET, Fox): Mariota has quietly been a viable fantasy starter when the matchup is right, but he could be in for a tough week when the Falcons face Washington. Their defense has played at a high level lately, allowing an average of fewer than 14 fantasy points to quarterbacks in the last four weeks. With no teams on a bye, there should be better fantasy options.
More Sits
• Ryan Tannehill vs. Bengals (1 p.m. ET, CBS)
• Derek Carr at Seahawks (4:05 p.m. ET, CBS)
DFS Fades
• Tom Brady at Browns ($5,800)
• Derek Carr at Seahawks ($5,700)
• Trevor Lawrence vs. Ravens ($5,500)
More fantasy & NFL coverage:
• Week 12 Waiver Wire Pickups
• Week 12 IDP Waiver Wire
• Fantasy Fallout: Another Bad Week for Running Backs
• Odell Beckham Jr. to Visit Cowboys, Giants
• MMQB: Week 12 Power Rankings
Michael Fabiano is an award-winning fantasy football analyst on Sports Illustrated and a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association (FSWA) Hall of Fame. Click here to read all his articles here on SI Fantasy. You can follow Michael on Twitter, Facebook, YouTube, and Instagram for your late-breaking fantasy news and the best analysis in the business to help you win a fantasy championship!
