2022 NFL Offensive Player of the Year Betting Breakdown

Cooper Kupp and Jonathan Taylor are tied at SI Sportsbook for the best odds to win NFL Offensive Player of the Year.

Author:
Shawn Childs
Publish date:
Sep 1, 2022

In this story:

Washington Commanders

When reviewing the potential winning options to win the 2022 Offensive Player of the Year award, I’m pretty narrow-minded in my choices.

For a player to win, he has to lead his position in multiple categories or help an unexpected team to a playoff season with exceptional success.

Here are the latest odds at SI Sportsbook and my top choices.

2022 NFL Offensive Player of the Year Odds

Cooper Kupp (WR, LAR) +800
Jonathan Taylor (RB, IND) +800
Deebo Samuel (WR, SF) +100)
Derrick Henry (RB, TEN) +1000
Davante Adams (WR, LV) +1400
Justin Jefferson (WR, MIN) +1400
Christian McCaffrey (RB, CAR) +1800
Josh Allen (QB, BUF) +1800
Nick Chubb (RB, CLE) +1800
Patrick Mahomes (QB, KC) +1800
Justin Herbert (QB, LAC) +2000
Kyler Murray (QB, ARZ) +2200
Lamar Jackson (QB, BAL) +2200
Aaron Rodgers (QB, GB) +2500
Joe Burrow (QB, CIN) +2500
Travis Kelce (TE, KC) +2800
Dak Prescott (QB, DAL) +3000
Tom Brady (QB, TB) +3000
Trey Lance (QB, SF) +3000
Jalen Hurts (QB, PHI) +3300
Ja’Marr Chase (WR, CIN) +3300
Matthew Stafford (QB, LAR) +3300
Russell Wilson (QB, DEN) +3300
Aaron Jones (RB, GB) +4000
CeeDee Lamb (WR, DAL) +4000
Derek Carr (QB, LV) +4000
Stefon Diggs (WR, BUF) +4000

Aug 20, 2022; Indianapolis, Indiana, USA; Indianapolis Colts running back Jonathan Taylor (28) warms up before the game against the Detroit Lions at Lucas Oil Stadium. — Trevor Ruszkowski-USA TODAY Sports

RB Jonathan Taylor, Indianapolis Colts (+800)

This draft season, there is only one back that has youth on his side who is still on a vertical climb. Jonathan Taylor is a powerful, high-volume runner with the skill set to dominate on all three downs. The Colts will use a second back, but there is no stopping this runaway freight train once the winning plays and weeks come in. He has an excellent chance of leading the NFL in rushing yards and touchdowns.

As expected, Taylor is the favorite to win the award with Cooper Kupp.

Aug 20, 2022; Orchard Park, New York, USA; Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) at the line of scrimmage in the first quarter of a pre-season game against the Denver Broncos at Highmark Stadium. — Mark Konezny-USA TODAY Sports

QB Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills (+1800)

If the Bills don't make it to the Super Bowl, it will be a disappointing end to the year for Josh Allen. Buffalo is the SI Sportsbook favorite to win the Super Bowl, and Allen must carry the team on his back.

His ability to make plays in the run game, paired with improving value in the passing game, gives him a high floor and elite ceiling at his position.

QB Props: Passing Yards | Passing TD | Brady | Herbert | Allen

I expect an excellent year, thanks to an exciting pair of lead wideouts in Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis.

Aug 1, 2022; Costa Mesa, CA, USA; Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert (10) throws the ball during training camp at the Jack Hammett Sports Complex. — Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

QB Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers (+2000)

There should be an offensive show in many division matchups in the AFC West. Patrick Mahomes continues to get plenty of respect in fantasy drafts, but his arsenal at wide receiver could disappoint. Justin Herbert has the best combination of receiving talent at running back and wide receiver in their division, and he has just as high of a ceiling as Mahomes.

AFC West Over/Under Wins Total: KC | LV | LAC | DEN | Division Odds

Russell Wilson and Derek Carr will have something to say about winning the AFC West. Herbert will throw the ball early and often, and the Chargers’ defense should do enough to close out more wins. For Herbert to win this award, he must win the division title plus rank at the top of the league in passing yards and touchdowns.

Cincinnati Bengals’ Joe Burrow throws a pass throws a pass during NFL football training camp in Cincinnati, Monday, Aug. 15, 2022. — Aaron Doster/AP

QB Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals (+2500)

After Week 1 of the regular season, the outlook of Joe Burrow and his receiving corps will be much higher. He has two of the best wideouts in the league with an improved offensive line. If Burrow gets a couple more ticks on the clock to throw the ball, he will destroy defenses with the deep passing game.

AFC North Over/Under Wins Total: CIN | PIT | CLE | BAL | Division Odds

Ja’Marr Chase is a complete monster, just waiting to be respected as the league’s top wideout. Tee Higgins would be a clear-cut WR1 but draws WR2 coverage in this offense. There is an excellent chance Burrow will lead the NFL in passing yards and touchdowns. His chance of taking home the award would be significantly helped if his success turned into a division title and a deep postseason run.

Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase (1) completes a one-handed catch as Los Angeles Rams cornerback Jalen Ramsey (5) defends during a joint practice, Wednesday, Aug. 24, 2022, at the Paycor Stadium practice fields in Cincinnati. — Kareem Elgazzar/The Enquirer / USA TODAY NETWORK

WR Ja’Marr Chase, Cincinnati Bengals (+33300)

Chase outperformed most experts' expectations in his rookie season by delivering the fifth-ranked wide receiver season (81/1,455/13). I see a further progression, leading to him being my top-ranked wideout in 2022.

Chase is a generational talent in the realm of Jerry Rice with a Hall of Fame pedigree. He brings more explosiveness than both Kupp and Justin Jefferson, and I expect him to get more targets over the short areas of the field to help add consistency to his week-to-week production.

The Bengals’ star is my top choice to lead the NFL in receiving yards and touchdowns. If he pushes for 2,000 receiving yards, he has to be a top consideration in the offensive player of the year award.

OTHER OPTIONS: WR Cooper Kupp, Los Angeles Rams (+800); WR Justin Jefferson, Minnesota Vikings (+1400); WR Stefon Diggs, Buffalo Bills (+4000)