Bills Central

Predicting Buffalo Bills' remaining 2025 schedule, playoff standing

Coming out of the bye week, the Bills will face a Panthers team that has exceeded expectations, followed by matchups with the Chiefs and a meeting with the NFC-leading Buccaneers down the road.
Oct 13, 2025; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) scrambles against the against the Atlanta Falcons during the first half of a game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Oct 13, 2025; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) scrambles against the against the Atlanta Falcons during the first half of a game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. | Brett Davis-Imagn Images

Entering the 2025 regular season, the Buffalo Bills were expected to enjoy a smooth ride, with one of the easiest schedules in the league based on most projections.

The Bills’ 2025 slate includes six teams that advanced to the playoffs a season ago, while 11 of their games this season are against opponents that recorded a losing record in 2024.

A piece of cake, right?

With six of their games coming against what were expected to be three lowly AFC East foes, and another three matchups scheduled against what has historically been one of the worst divisions in football — the NFC South — the No. 1 seed appeared to be a fait accompli for the Bills. And after a 4-0 start, expectations for the team skyrocketed.

Not so fast.

The Bills’ outlook has started to appear a whole lot different after two straight defeats, with the team exhibiting deficiencies on both sides of the ball, leading to ample cause for concern moving forward. With everything considered, here is a prediction for the Bills' remaining regular-season schedule and where they will find themselves entering the playoffs.

(Overall records as of prior to the start of Monday Night Football.)

RELATED: 3 reasons for optimism despite Buffalo Bills' extended slump

Rico Dowdle
Carolina Panthers running back Rico Dowdle (5) runs the ball during a game at MetLife Stadium. | Yannick Peterhans / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Week 8 | Carolina Panthers (4-3)

The Panthers have impressed this season, winning three games in order to forge a head of steam entering this week’s game against the Bills. Carolina has ridden a strong running game throughout its recent spurt of success. This will not be an easy game for Buffalo.

Prediction: Win

MORE: Bills will reportedly face Panthers' offense missing its centerpiece in Week 8

Patrick Mahomes
Oct 19, 2025; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) passes the ball against the Las Vegas Raiders during the second quarter at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. | Jay Biggerstaff-Imagn Images

Week 9 | Kansas City Chiefs (4-3)

After a rough start, the Chiefs are back. Wide receiver Rashee Rice has returned from suspension, while Patrick Mahomes has awoken from his early-season slumber. Kansas City is once again a Super Bowl favorite.

Prediction: Loss

RELATED: 3 recently-extended Bills' players most to blame for recent losing streak

Tua Tagovailoa
Oct 19, 2025; Cleveland, Ohio, USA; Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (1) runs with the ball during the first half at Huntington Bank Field. | Ken Blaze-Imagn Images

Week 10 | Miami Dolphins (1-6)

The Dolphins are a dumpster fire. This is one of the few walkovers remaining on the Bills’ regular-season schedule.

Prediction: Win

MORE: NFL expert teases Bills' trade for former 2nd-round pick to bolster CB position

Baker Mayfield
Oct 12, 2025; Tampa, Florida, USA; Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield (6) runs on the field at Raymond James Stadium. | Nathan Ray Seebeck-Imagn Images

Week 11 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-1)

Quarterback Baker Mayfield is one of the favorites to earn NFL MVP at season’s end, recording a torrid stretch to start the regular season. Todd Bowles has the Buccaneers clicking on all cylinders, making this one of the most difficult matchups remaining for the Bills this year.

Prediction: Loss

RELATED: Longtime NFL commentators slam media's favoritism of Bills QB Josh Allen

Jalen Pitre
Oct 5, 2025; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Houston Texans safety Jalen Pitre (5) celebrates a fumble recovery against the Baltimore Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium. | Rafael Suanes-Imagn Images

Week 12 | Houston Texans (2-3)

It will be interesting to see where the Texans find themselves when Week 12 rolls around. Their defense has performed well, while their offense has been inconsistent throughout the season. All that being said, this is a team that beat the Bills a season ago, making it an intriguing matchup.

Prediction: Win

MORE: Former DPOY among potential free-agent options to fill Bills' open roster spot

Mike Tomlin
Sep 26, 2025; Maynooth, Ireland; Pittsburgh Steelers coach Mike Tomlin during practice at Carton House. | Kirby Lee-Imagn Images

Week 13 | Pittsburgh Steelers (4-2)

The Steelers’ offense has displayed flashes of brilliance behind 40-year-old quarterback Aaron Rodgers, but the Pittsburgh defense has resembled a sieve through the first seven weeks of the season. All in all, the Steelers have outperformed expectations through their first six games.  This is far from a daunting matchup for Buffalo, but one it must account for down the stretch.

Prediction: Win

RELATED: Bills move fan favorite LB to practice squad, create intriguing roster vacancy

Ja'Marr Chase
Oct 16, 2025; Cincinnati, Ohio, USA; Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Ja'Marr Chase (1) gestures after making a first down against the Pittsburgh Steelers. | Joseph Maiorana-Imagn Images

Week 14 | Cincinnati Bengals (3-4)

It’s highly unlikely that the Bengals will get starting quarterback Joe Burrow back in time for their meeting with the Bills. But after acquiring new backup QB Joe Flacco via a trade before a Week 7 win over the Steelers, this team has become a whole lot more viable than it was in the first several weeks following Burrow’s injury.

Prediction: Win

MORE: What's gone wrong for Bills? 2 studs, 6 duds entering Buffalo's bye week

Mike Vrabel, Drake Maye
New England Patriots coach Mike Vrabel talks to quarterback Drake Maye (10) during the second quarter at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, Tenn., Sunday, Oct. 19, 2025. | Andrew Nelles / The Tennessean / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Week 15 | New England Patriots (5-2)

The Patriots already beat the Bills once this season and now sit alone atop the AFC East while also holding the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Bills. Quarterback Drake Maye completed 91% of his passes during a win over the Tennessee Titans, setting a new franchise record, and it now appears the sky is the limit for the young signal caller. It’s time to take this team for real as a true contender to take the divisional crown from Buffalo.

Prediction: Loss

RELATED: Bills announce pending return of defensive reinforcements entering bye week

Quinshon Judkins
Oct 19, 2025; Cleveland, Ohio, USA; Cleveland Browns running back Quinshon Judkins (10) rushes against the Miami Dolphins at Huntington Bank Field. | Ken Blaze-Imagn Images

Week 16 | Cleveland Browns (2-5)

The Browns have a solid defense, but their offense is anemic and is unlikely to present a significant challenge in this game. There is a chance we may see Shedeur Sanders under center for this game, which is the only thing that could give Cleveland a glimmer of hope against the Bills. But even that is a stretch.

Prediction: Win

MORE: Bills' head coach provides concerning update on DT DaQuan Jones after Week 6 loss

Saquon Barkley
Oct 19, 2025; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Philadelphia Eagles running back Saquon Barkley (26) runs the ball at U.S. Bank Stadium. | Jeffrey Becker-Imagn Images

Week 17 | Philadelphia Eagles (5-2)

The Eagles put it all together during a win over the Vikings on Sunday. There is a question as to whether or not this game will mean much to either team in Week 17, particularly the Eagles. With that said, with the way things have gone for the Bills in recent weeks, it would not be shocking if they are fighting for their playoff lives in this one.

Prediction: Loss

RELATED: Josh Allen provides clarity on apparent injury sustained during Bills' loss to Falcons

Aaron Glenn
Oct 19, 2025; East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA; New York Jets head coach Aaron Glenn reacts in the first quarter against the Carolina Panthers at MetLife Stadium. | Robert Deutsch-Imagn Images

Week 18 | New York Jets (0-7)

If the Bills’ playoff hopes are still in question entering the season’s final week, they’ll be lucky to have drawn a matchup with the worst team in the NFL. The Jets have been a train wreck under first-year head coach Aaron Glenn.

Prediction: Win

MORE: 3 reasons to worry after Buffalo Bills' two-game skid

Final Record/Standing: 11-6, second-place AFC East, wild card berth

At the end of the day, it's just too tough to trust the Bills right now. They can't stop the run or pass defensively, while their offense has hit the skids in recent weeks.

With significant reason to worry on both sides of the ball, this team will have to prove its ability to overcome some of its warts before it can be once again considered as a bona fide contender for a conference title.

Fortunately for the Bills, they have 10 more games to prove themselves worthy of the high expecatations many had for them at the outset of the season.

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Alex Brasky
ALEX BRASKY

Alex Brasky is editor of Bills Digest and host of the Buffalo Pregame podcast. He has been on the Bills beat the past six seasons and now joins Sports Illustrated hoping to expand his coverage of Buffalo’s favorite football team.

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