Cincinnati Reds Now Control Their Own Playoff Fate in Wild Card Race

Reds hold all the cards if they just win.

Sep 20, 2025; Cincinnati, Ohio, USA; Cincinnati Reds shortstop Elly De La Cruz (44) advances to third base on a wild pitch by Chicago Cubs pitcher Javier Assad (72) in the second inning at Great American Ball Park. Mandatory Credit: Aaron Doster-Imagn Images | Aaron Doster-Imagn Images

The Cincinnati Reds are in the driver’s seat when it comes to securing the last Wild Card spot in the National League. Let’s look at the different scenarios that could play out.

The easiest path would simply be to win out. If they do that, they will maintain their spot as the last Wild Card team.

The Reds also hold the tiebreaker with the Padres and could overtake them if San Diego finishes the final six games of the year with a 0-6 record. They have three games with the Milwaukee Brewers and three games with the Arizona Diamondbacks. Two teams are still very much looking for postseason posturing.

The New York Mets, the Diamondbacks, and the San Francisco Giants all will need to be one game better than the Reds. Cincinnati holds the tiebreaker over New York and Arizona due to their head-to-head records with each club. 

The Reds are tied head-to-head with the Giants, but boast a better intra-division record than San Francisco.

Just win, Reds.

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