Cincinnati Reds Projected to Finish Last in National League Central by FanGraphs

The Reds went 77-85 in 2024.

Cincinnati Reds starting pitcher Nick Lodolo (40) pitches in the second inning of the MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Kansas City Royals at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati on Saturday, Aug. 17, 2024. | Albert Cesare/The Enquirer / USA TODAY NETWORK

We wrote about the Reds disappointing PECOTA projections for the 2025 season earlier this week. FanGraphs came out with their projections today and they're not much better.

They project the Reds to finish last in the National League Central with a 78-84 record, just a one-game improvement from their 77-85 finish last season.

FanGraphs has Cincinnati's playoff chances at just 17.9%, reflecting skepticism despite several offseason additions.

The Reds bolstered their roster by acquiring Gavin Lux, Brady Singer, Jose Trevino, and Austin Hays, while Nick Martinez returned on a qualifying offer.

FanGraphs projected the Reds to win 79.6 games and gave them a 25.9% chance to make the playoffs on 2024.

Check out their full projections here.

Make sure you bookmark Cincinnati Reds Talk for the latest news, exclusive interviews, and daily coverage of the Cincinnati Reds!

You May Also Like:

Cincinnati Reds Release Tribute Video Honoring Pete Rose Following His Death

Pete Rose Shared POWERFUL Thoughts on Possible Hall of Fame Induction Before He Died

Cincinnati Reds Star Matt McLain is Healthy, to Play in Arizona Fall League

Report: Cincinnati Reds Rule Out Six Popular Managerial Candidates

Cincinnati Reds Expected to Target Two Candidates for Manager Job, Including Former Red

Cincinnati Reds Expected to “Aggressively Pursue” Trade for 3-Time All-Star This Offseason

Three Qualities the Next Cincinnati Reds Manager Must Have

Skip Schumaker Has Key Trait Cincinnati Reds Are Looking For in Next Manager

Nine Candidates to be Next Manager of the Cincinnati Reds Following David Bell Firing

Rhett Lowder Dazzles in Final Appearance of 2024, Wraps Up Impressive First Season

Marty Brennaman Weighs in on Reds Manager Search, Believes They Should Target World Series Champion Terry Francona

Cincinnati Reds Will Have to Compete With Multiple Teams to Land Skip Schumaker

Look: No. 2 Overall Pick Chase Burns in Cincinnati Reds Uniform for First Time

Watch: Nick Krall Discusses Reds’ Decision to Fire Manager David Bell

Look: Cincinnati Reds 2025 Spring Training Schedule Released

Follow Cincinnati Reds on SI on Twitter/X: @RedsTalkSI

Like Our Facebook Page

Subscribe and follow the ONLY Daily Reds Podcast

Follow on Instagram