Look: ESPN Projects Shemar Stewart to Tally Less Than 10 Sacks in First Three NFL Seasons

The Bengals are hoping for more impact than this.

Apr 24, 2025; Green Bay, WI, USA; NFL commissioner Roger Goodell with Texas A&M Aggies defensive end Shemar Stewart after her is selected by the Cincinnati Bengals as the number seventeen pick in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft at Lambeau Field. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-Imagn Images | Kirby Lee-Imagn Images

CINCINNATI — ESPN analytics expert Seth Walder simulated the first three years for the top edge rushers/defensive tackles in the 2025 NFL Draft and Shemar Stewart came in with less than 10 total sacks projected.

Stewart ranked seventh in the exercise with 9.2 projected sacks in his first three seasons. The defensive end had 4.5 sacks in three seasons at Texas A&M. Abdul Carter led the way in the projection with 15.5 projected sacks.

Walder laid out the forecast criteria in his thread on X:

• College sack production 
• College pressure and pass rush win rate from Pro Football Focus 
• Scouts Inc. Grade 
• Age 
• Some FPI info about their college team and their opponents 
• Position 
• Some measurement/NFL Combine information

Check out the full projection below:

Let's try this again:

Sack forecast for this year's draft prospects!

This model projects each player's total sacks over years 1-3 in their NFL careers. It's intended as a pre-draft model but I had a bug I didn't manager to squash until today. pic.twitter.com/dpNBELQWmu

— Seth Walder (@SethWalder) April 30, 2025

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